Who will win the 2027 Super Bowl?
Short answer: On 11 November 2026, mid-season, the prediction market for the 2027 Super Bowl had no strong favourite. Its top three were Buffalo Bills (14.5%), San Francisco 49ers (14.1%), Jacksonville Jaguars (12.2%), with all 32 teams priced. No team was above 15%. After the game in February 2027 the live market page shows the winner.
The six shortest prices on 11 November 2026
- Buffalo Bills — 14.5%
- San Francisco 49ers — 14.1%
- Jacksonville Jaguars — 12.2%
- Chicago Bears — 10.9%
- Kansas City Chiefs — 9.6%
- Cincinnati Bengals — 5.9%
Together they account for about two-thirds of the probability. The other 26 teams share the rest.
How to compare this with a sportsbook
A bookmaker's odds include a margin, so the implied chances of all 32 teams add up to well over 100%. Prediction-market prices are set by traders buying from each other and sit much closer to 100% in total. To convert: a price of 14.5% is about +590 in American odds or 6.9 in decimal. If a sportsbook offers noticeably longer odds than that on the same team, the book is the better price; if shorter, the market is.
Depth
This is one of the deepest markets on Polymarket, with about $72.6 million traded by the snapshot date. Prices here are hard to push around and tend to react to injuries and results within minutes.
When prices change most
- Quarterback injuries move a contender more than any single result.
- Seeding: a first-round bye is worth several points on its own.
- The divisional round is where favourites consolidate; before it, long shots are usually over-priced.
Resolution
The market pays on the team that wins the championship game played in February 2027. Polymarket lists it as "Pro Football: 2027 Champion".
Current prices: 2027 pro football champion — live market.
Prices are a snapshot of Polymarket's order book taken on 11 November 2026 and will have moved since; the live page has the current numbers, or the result if the event has been decided. A price is the market's estimate of a probability, not a forecast we endorse, and this is not advice to trade.